2024 John Deere Classic odds, picks, field: Surprising predictions by golf model that’s called 13 majors

If Sepp Straka is able to finish on top of the leaderboard this week at the 2024 John Deere Classic, he’ll become the first golfer to successfully defend his title since Steve Stricker won three in a row (2009-11). Straka will have to stave off several serious contenders if he wants to rewrite the history books. Patrick Cantlay, Jordan Spieth, Sungjae Im and Jason Day are among the players looking to dethrone Straka and win the John Deere Classic 2024. 

Play gets underway from TPC Deere Run on Thursday, July 4. Cantlay enters this week’s event as the 9-1 favorite according to the latest 2024 John Deere Classic odds. He’s followed by Spieth (18-1), Im (20-1) and Straka (20-1) on the PGA odds board. J.T. Poston, who won this tournament in 2022, is among the intriguing longshots at 35-1. Before locking in your 2024 John Deere Classic picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters — its third Masters in a row — and this year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. 

Now with the 2024 John Deere Classic field locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 John Deere Classic predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the John Deere Classic 2024: Jordan Spieth (18-1), a two-time winner of this event and one of the top favorites, stumbles this week and barely cracks the top five. Spieth has often been heralded as one of the best putters on the PGA Tour, and he’ll enter this week’s event ranked seventh in putting average (1.717). 

However, Spieth has finished T-29 or worse in each of his last nine starts on the PGA Tour, which includes two missed cuts. He’s also struggled with his irons this season, ranking 70th in greens in regulation percentage (66.05%) and 110th in strokes gained: approach to green (-0.085). TPC Deere Run places a premium on ball striking, which doesn’t bode well for Spieth’s chances to finish on top of the leaderboard. See who else to fade here.

Another surprise: Davis Thompson, a 30-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. 

Thompson certainly has the game to finish near the top of the leaderboard this week. The 25-year-old has recorded a top-10 finish in each of his last two starts, which includes a T-2 showing at last week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic. Thompson enters this week’s event ranked inside the top 25 in several important statistical categories, including strokes gained: total (0.986), scoring average (69.53) and greens in regulation percentage (68.30%), giving him the tools to contend at TPC Deere Run. See who else to back here. 

How to make 2024 John Deere Classic picks

The model is also targeting four other golfers with odds of 25-1 or longer who will make a strong run at the title, including a massive 80-1 longshot. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.

Who will win the 2024 John Deere Classic, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the John Deere Classic 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected John Deere Classic leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters and all three majors this year.

2024 John Deere Classic odds, field

Get full 2024 John Deere Classic picks, best bets and predictions here.

Patrick Cantlay +900
Jordan Spieth +1800
Sungjae Im +2000
Sepp Straka +2000
Aaron Rai +2200
Maverick McNealy +2800
Keith Mitchell +2800
Davis Thompson +3000
Denny McCarthy +3000
Jason Day +3300
J.T. Poston +3500
Sam Stevens +4000
Nick Dunlap +4000
Cam Davis +5000
Kevin Yu +5000
Eric Cole +6000
Beau Hossler +6000
Taylor Montgomery +6000
Luke Clanton +6500
Ben Griffin +6500
Mark Hubbard +6500
Lucas Glover +6500
Patrick Rodgers +7000
Ryo Hisatsune +7000
Michael Thorbjornsen +7000
Thorbjørn Olesen +7000
Adam Svensson +7500
Doug Ghim +7500
Andrew Novak +8000
Adam Schenk +8000
Daniel Berger +8000
Seamus Power +8000
J.J. Spaun +8000
Lee Hodges +8000
Michael Kim +9000
Jhonattan Vegas +9000
S.H. Kim +10000
Nate Lashley +10000
Neal Shipley +10000
Davis Riley +10000
K.H. Lee +10000
Alejandro Tosti +10000
Mac Meissner +11000
Dylan Wu +11000
Alex Smalley +11000
Jake Knapp +11000
Joseph Bramlett +11000
Andrew Putnam +11000
Hayden Springer +11000
Brendon Todd +11000
Rico Hoey +11000
Chris Gotterup +11000
Chan Kim +11000
Jacob Bridgeman +11000
Luke List +11000
David Skinns +12000
Justin Lower +12000
C.T. Pan +12000
Pierceson Coody +12000
Chandler Phillips +12000
Zach Johnson +12000
Cameron Champ +12000
Joel Dahmen +15000
Nick Hardy +15000
Sami Valimaki +15000
Ryan Moore +15000
Greyson Sigg +15000
Chesson Hadley +15000
Garrick Higgo +15000
Carson Young +15000
Ben Silverman +15000
Vince Whaley +15000