2024 NFL Win Total Best Bets

The NFL season is here! The Hall-of-Fame game kicks off next Thursday in Canton to signify the start of the greatest game in the world’s season. We’ve spent the entire offseason placing bets on MVP, Offensive Player of the Year, Defensive Player of the Year, and all sorts of things. Now it’s time to dig into our favorite 2024 NFL win total best bets.

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2024 NFL Win Total Best Bets

Philadelphia Eagles Over 10.5 Wins (-135)

The Eagles started the 2023 season 10-1, things fell apart quickly, unfortunately for the Eagles. The team ended the season on a 1-5 skid but still managed to surpass this number at 11-6. In 2022, on their way to being the champions of the NFC, the team had a 14-3 record.

This year they’ve got the route of veteran coordinators this season, bringing on defensive coordinator Vic Fangio and offensive coordinator Kellen Moore.

The Eagles added Saquon Barkley to bolster their offense and paid both star receivers AJ Brown and Devonta Smith. If Jalen Hurts can get back to his almost MVP level of 2022, this Eagles team could be dangerous fast. They are also my favorite bet to win the Super Bowl at 15/1.

Pittsburgh Steelers Over 8.5 Wins (+100)

Mike Tomlin has been the head man in Pittsburgh for the last 17 seasons. With Bill Belichick’s departure from the New England Patriots, he is now the longest-tenured head coach in the NFL. In those 17 seasons, Tomlin has had a record worse than .500 exactly zero times. So, you are getting him at plus money to win one more game than .500, which he’s done 14 times in 17 seasons, including the last four years.

Even with Kenny Pickett, Mason Rudolph, and Duck Hodges at the helm, Tomlin has gotten it done. Now he gets two-time Super Bowl-playing quarterback Russell Wilson and maybe sprinkle in some electric Justin Fields as well. If anyone can make this happen, it’s Tomlin, who, outside of Andy Reid, is probably the best head coach in the league. Sign me up.

Indianapolis Colts Over 8.5 Wins (+100)

The Colts have actually gone over 8.5 wins in three of the last four seasons. Last year, when Anthony Richardson went down with an injury, Gardner Minshew stepped up and filled in solidly, leading the team to a 9-8 record.

This year, they get Anthony Richardson back, who, in his small sample size, looked like a very explosive playmaker. The biggest question with Richardson is whether he can stay healthy. While staying healthy would be the best thing for this bet, if he doesn’t, Joe Flacco is now in town as the backup. We all saw what the 2023 comeback player of the year did, filling in in Cleveland.

Las Vegas Raiders Under 6.5 Wins (+120)

The Raiders of Las Vegas went 8-9 last season with Jimmy Garoppolo at the helm for most of the season. Josh McDaniels was fired halfway through the season as owner Mark Davis wasn’t happy with the job that was done.

Antonio Pierce took over as the interim head coach and won the hearts and minds of Las Vegas, being rewarded with the interest tag being removed. While Pierce was a great rah-rah get the troops fired up guy last year, his coaching resume lacks big time. His head coaching experience is four seasons on the high school level.

He spent a few years on the staff at Arizona State and just a season and a half as the linebackers coach in Vegas. This just seems like a massive step too fast that is going to backfire. Then they draft another tight end with their first pick in the Draft, and they are relying on either Gardner Minshew or Aiden O’Connell to be the guy at quarterback. It just doesn’t seem like a seven-win move. Give me the under.

Carolina Panthers Under 5.5 Wins (-105)

This bet would not hit if Bryce Young found Jordan’s special water bottle from Space Jam. This team has had more than 5.5 wins once in the last five seasons. Bryce Young did not look good in his rookie season after being drafted as the No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. The Panthers only won two games in 2023, and their head coach was fired partway through his first season at the helm.

The team traded what ended up being the No. 1 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft to trade up and draft Young in 2023. They did trade back into the first round with the Buffalo Bills to get a wide receiver for Young in Xavier Legette.

They also traded for the Steelers’ Diontae Johnson, so they are trying to give Young some weapons. Until I see Young improve and some stability from the front office, most notably the owner David Tepper, I’ll fade the Panthers.

Tennessee Titans Over 6.5 Wins (+118)

Tennessee is another team with a new head coach, but a bit of a different situation. Their starting quarterback in Will Levis, hasn’t proven himself just yet, but he’s shown the flashes of being able to take that next step. Mike Vrable’s time was up and in steps Brian Callahan from the Cincinnati Bengals.

Brian is a package deal, bringing his father Bill, a former NFL head coach and one of the greatest offensive line coaches in NFL history, with him. Will Levis got no time to work the ball last year, landing on his back more than anything else.

Even in a tumultuous season last year, the Titans managed to get to six wins. This is a franchise that doesn’t lose a lot of games in general. Before last year, you have to go all the way back to the 2015 season for the last time the Titans won less than seven games in a season.