Alabama vs. Wisconsin odds, spread: 2024 college football picks, Week 3 predictions from proven model

The Week 3 college football schedule is anchored by an SEC vs. Big Ten showdown as No. 4 Alabama travels to Wisconsin on Saturday. Wisconsin has lost nine of its past 10 games against top-five non-conference opponents, though the Badgers did knock off No. 5 LSU in a game played at Lambeau Field in 2016. Alabama, meanwhile, is 8-2 in its last 10 games against Big Ten foes.

Kickoff at Camp Randall Stadium is set for noon ET. After opening at -7, the Crimson Tide are 16.5-point favorites in the latest Alabama vs. Wisconsin odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under is 49. It’s the first time Wisconsin has been a home underdog of 15 or more points in the past 30 years. Before making any Wisconsin vs. Alabama picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is also coming off a profitable 13-9 season on top-rated spread picks and is off to a 4-0 start on over/under picks this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Alabama vs. Wisconsin. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines on the spread, money line and over/under for Wisconsin vs. Alabama:

• Alabama vs. Wisconsin spread: Alabama -16.5
• Alabama vs. Wisconsin over/under: 49 points
• Alabama vs. Wisconsin money line: Alabama -800, Wisconsin +542
• Alabama vs. Wisconsin picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Alabama can cover

Alabama has absolutely dominated unranked non-conference opponents, winning 53 straight games against them. The Tide are also on an astonishing 122-1 run against all unranked opponents, with their only loss in this streak coming against Texas A&M in 2021. And despite regularly being favored by double digits, the Tide continue to be a profitable team to back. They are 24-19-1 ATS since 2021, with that 55.8% cover rate ranking 27th in the nation during that span.

The Tide were stymied by USF early last week but exploded for 28 points in the fourth quarter to pull away. Freshman receiver Ryan Williams continues to be a new favorite target for quarterback Jalen Milroe as he now has six receptions for 207 yards and three touchdowns on the season. See which team to pick here. 

Why Wisconsin can cover

The Badgers have won five of their past seven games played in September and they held South Dakota to just three points in the first half in last week’s victory. Quarterback Tyler Van Dyke completed 17-of-27 passes for 214 yards and a touchdown in the 27-13 win. Running back Cade Yacamelli led the team in rushing, finishing with eight carries for 73 yards. 

Senior RB Chez Mellusi is Wisconsin’s work horse, having already racked up 35 carries for 134 yards and three touchdowns. He scored twice against South Dakota and he’ll need to be effective for Wisconsin to be able to control the clock against an explosive Alabama offense on Saturday. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Wisconsin vs. Alabama picks

The model has simulated Alabama vs. Wisconsin 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over the total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Alabama vs. Wisconsin, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that’s up over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.