Week 4 College Football Moneyline Parlay

Everybody loves an underdog story. There’s nothing better than bragging to the entire bar about the plus-money bet that you just cashed.  You can bet these Week 4 College Football picks against the spread, as single moneyline plays, or as a parlay, and you’ll be the Tailgate Hero. Welcome to the Sports Gambling Podcast Network Animal Shelter. Let’s find you a dog.

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Week 3 College Football Moneyline Parlay

+2751 The College Football Experience Parlay

We here at the Sports Gambling Podcast Network love large odds. Some people say parlay betting is dumb, but when you treat a moneyline parlay like a lottery ticket, it’s not. Allow me to explain.

Many folks are avid lotto players, such as Mega Millions and Powerball. The odds of winning the Powerball jackpot are 1 in 292.2 million, and even lower for Mega Millions, at 1 in 302.6 million.

The notorious slogan is, “risk a little to win a lot.” What if I told you that you could place your $2 lotto entry fee on a measured college football moneyline underdog parlay where you can select your winning numbers based on analysis instead of a machine randomly doing it for you? This week’s college football upset picks would pay out $55.02 on FanDuel Sportsbook.

There are 15 slates of college football. If you were to place just one $2 college football parlay each week, that’s a $30 bet total. With just one correct +2751 The College Football Experience Parlay, that’s $27.02 of profit, $82.04 if two hit, $137.06 for three, etc.

Are you feeling more frisky? Those profit amounts increase incrementally with just a few extra dollars on each moneyline underdog parlay. Lastly, in case you weren’t already sold, I can promise you that watching BYU, Georgia Tech, and Michigan play college football is more entertaining than 40 seconds of ping-pong balls.

College Football Picks Record (All 1 Unit Bets)

Every ML Dog Pick: 2-10 (-1 unit)

Noah’s Dogs: 2-7 (+2.0 units)

Dundee’s Dogs: 0-3 (-3 units)

Dundee’s Dog: BYU Moneyline +205

(-6.5) Kansas State at BYU (O/U 49.5)

BYU has a superb record in night games. The Cougars are 22-1 SU in games that kickoff at or after sunset (2 wins vs ranked teams, 7 vs P5, and 15-1 in Provo). Don’t underestimate the altitude being a factor in this matchup either. LaVell Edwards Stadium will be a hornets nest for a Kansas State team coming off a big home win over a ranked Arizona team.

BYU’s defense ranks 26th nationally in opponent rush yards per game. They are holding opposing offenses to just 97 rushing yards per game. Kansas State has a very successful rushing offense but if the Cougars bottle that up KSU will have to throw the ball.  Wildcats’ QB Avery Johnson hasn’t looked that sharp in the passing department this season. He has completed just 64.2% of his passes averaging just 130 passing yards per game.

Inversely, BYU’s offense has passed for 260 yards per game. They will be facing Kansas State’s 114th ranked pass defense (305 YPG). Granted the strength of schedule has been weaker for the Cougars. But with one of the best home field advantages at night BYU is a live dog in the Saturday night cap.

Dog #2: Georgia Tech Moneyline +280

(O/U 49.5) Georgia Tech at Louisville (-10.5)

Louisville’s first two opponents have been very weak. Austin Peay is an 0-3 FCS team that has lost by 33 points per game so far this season. Jacksonville State is also 0-3 SU (and ATS) and have lost by 22 PPG. Nobody knows what to make of Louisville so far this season and the Yellow Jackets are always feisty. Since 2022 Georgia Tech is 7-1 SU as an underdog of 14 points or less (8-0 ATS).

Georgia Tech QB Haynes King totaled over 360 yards of offense against Louisville last season. Louisville is coming off a BYE week, they should be ready, but did they work on installs for the Notre Dame game in Week 5 instead?

The Yellow Jackets are battle tested with a win over Florida State in Ireland and a close loss at Syracuse. This will be Georgia Tech’s 3rd conference game and 5th game overall, it’s just the Cardinals 3rd game, first one against a team with a pulse, and first ACC game.

Dog #3: Michigan Moneyline +146

(-4.5) USC at Michigan (O/U 44.5)

Nobody wants to take Michigan in this matchup. However the Wolverines are 24-1 SU in their last 25 games at The Big House. This will be USC QB Miller Moss’ first road start of his career and the program’s first ever Big Ten game. Michigan’s aggressive, salty, veteran defense is not going to roll over against a finesse offense (look at Ohio State in recent seasons).

The big question mark for Michigan is at quarterback. Head Coach Sherrone Moore announced that Alex Orji would start in Week 4. Davis Warren a better passing QB than Orji, but six interceptions in three games forced Moore’s hand and announce the switch.

Orji won’t be tasked with much, and he actually fits the Wolverines’ offense better. UofM doesn’t have any dynamic wide receivers. Their rebuilt offensive line can now focus on their bread and butter, pushing and leaning on the opposing D-line for four quarters. Michigan will land body blows against USC’s smaller defensive line while chewing clock keeping Lincoln Riley’s USC offense off the field.

The College Football Experience

For more analysis and entertainment on these games, make sure you turn into The College Football Experience. Colby Dant, PattyC, and NC Nick talk about each FBS game and mix in some FCS games, giving out moneyline and ATS college football picks every Wednesday night!