Tiny Nick’s Gambling Picks: 09/30 – Zone Coverage

Locks

NFL (0.5 Unit) 2-Team 6 Point Teaser (-110; Odds via Caesars)

Tennessee Titans +8.5 @ Miami Dolphins: 6:30 PM CT on ESPN

There’s been a big line move in this game, flipping the favorite to Miami after they announced that Snoop Huntley would be starting at quarterback. That would make sense considering how bad Skylar Thompson was last week, but since nothing in the NFL makes any sense, I’m going to fade the steam here and boost my margin on the Titans to a big number. Quarterback change or not, it’s a big ask for Miami to win by multiple possessions against a quality defense, especially after so many games have been decided by one score this season.

Seattle Seahawks +10 @ Detroit Lions: 7:15 PM CT on ABC

The Seahawks might just be for real, with a high-octane offense and a defense that’s figuring out Mike Macdonald’s new system. But given how good the Lions have been at covering numbers with Jared Goff, especially at home or indoors in general, I’m much more comfortable backing Seattle at this bigger number. And while the Lions might have covered in their two games against NFC West opponents so far, one was an OT miracle and the other was just a 7-point win. It’s a tall task to win by double digits, especially with Detroit having injury issues along the o-line and in the secondary, so I’ll back Seattle to make this a game.

Monday Night Football Prop Picks (Odds via DraftKings)

0.25 Unit – Tyreek Hill Over 4.5 Receptions (+105)

0.5 Unit – Tony Pollard Over 2.5 Receptions (-110)

0.25 Unit – Tyjae Spears Over 2.5 Receptions (+135)

0.25 Unit – Will Levis Over 15.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

0.65 Unit – Will Levis Over 0.5 Interceptions (-130)

0.25 Unit – DK Metcalf Anytime TD (+170)

0.5 Unit – Geno Smith Over 23.5 Completions (+100)

0.25 Unit – Geno Smith Over 248.5 Passing Yards (-110)

0.5 Unit – Jared Goff Under 22.5 Completions (+100)

0.25 Unit – Jared Goff Under 33.5 Pass Attempts (-110)

0.25 Unit – Jared Goff Under 245.5 Passing Yards (-110)

0.5 Unit – Jahmyr Gibbs Over 11.5 Rush Attempts (-110)

0.25 Unit – Jahmyr Gibbs Over 51.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

0.25 Unit – David Montgomery Over 14.5 Rush Attempts

0.25 Unit – David Montgomery Over 64.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Degenerates

No degenerates today.

Tiny Nick has gained +83.1 Units on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage. 

Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.