Tiny Nick’s Gambling Picks: 10/03 – Zone Coverage

Locks

NFL/NCAA Football (0.75 Unit) 2-Team 6 Point Teaser (-110; Odds via Caesars)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers/Atlanta Falcons Under 50: 7:15 PM CT on Prime Video

These are two teams who are already a combined 6-2 to the under this season, so being able to move this total up through several key numbers makes me feel pretty comfortable. Thursday night games have been continuing their tendency to stay low-scoring, going 3-0 this season as teams try to get them over with. Since there are already several injury concerns on both teams, I think they take that limited approach tonight. Neither run defense is particularly good, especially Tampa’s which is 29th in EPA/play, so a vanilla and run-heavy game will keep this under the adjusted total.

Sam Houston State -4 @ UTEP: 8:00 PM CT on CBSSN

UTEP is in the conversation for worst FBS team this year, and a Sam Houston squad that is roaring up the power rating ranks should have no trouble with them tonight. The Miners have lost by double digits to all three of their FBS opponents, and even lost at home to FCS Southern Utah, so this is truly a bad team. I just don’t see how they have any answer for excellent dual-threat quarterback Hunter Watson and the Bearkats offense, that showed how explosive it is in a big comeback on Saturday. But it’s possible that took a little out of Sam Houston, so I’m only going to ask them to win by a possession in this road contest.

Thursday Night Football Prop Picks (Odds via DraftKings)

0.5 Unit – Kirk Cousins Under 21.5 Completions (-110)

0.5 Unit – Drake London Over 5.5 Receptions (-110)

0.25 Unit – Bucky Irving Over 44.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

MLB Wild Card Prop Picks (Odds via DraftKings): 6:00 PM CT on ESPN

0.5 Unit – Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Total Bases (+125)

0.25 Unit – Gary Sanchez Under 0.5 Total Bases (+105)

0.25 Unit – Mark Vientos Over 1.5 Total Bases (+125)

0.25 Unit – Starling Marte Alt Over 1.5 Total Bases (+185)

Degenerates

No degenerates today.

Tiny Nick has gained +85.9 Units on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage. 

Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.