2024 Black Desert Championship odds, picks: Surprising predictions from proven model that’s nailed 13 majors

The PGA Tour’s FedEx Cup Fall schedule rolls on this week with the 2024 Black Desert Championship beginning on Thursday, Oct. 10. This is the first time the PGA Tour will host a tournament in Utah since 1963. The first-round tee times for the Black Desert Championship get underway on Thursday at 9:40 a.m. ET. The latest 2024 Black Desert Championship odds list Keith Mitchell as the 18-1 favorite, followed by Kurt Kitayama (25-1), Seamus Power (25-1), Beau Hossler (28-1) and Chris Kirk (30-1). 

Mitchell and Hossler were both in contention to win last week’s Sanderson Farms Championship, but Kevin Yu secured the victory, beating Hossler in a playoff to record his first PGA Tour win. Yu is in the Black Desert Championship field this week but is among the longshots at 50-1 odds. Before locking in your 2024 Black Desert Championship picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters — its third Masters in a row — and this year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. 

Now with the 2024 Black Desert Championship field locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 Black Desert Championship predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2024 Black Desert Championship: Chris Kirk (30-1), a six-time PGA Tour champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles this week and barely cracks the top 10. Kirk has recorded one win and three top-10 finishes in 2024, finishing on top of the leaderboard at The Sentry in January. 

However, Kirk secured just one top-25 finish in 10 of his last 11 starts on the PGA Tour. In addition, the 39-year-old has struggled mightily with his approach shots in 2024, ranking 91st in strokes gained: approach to green (0.077) and 122nd in greens in regulation percentage (65.02%). He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the 2024 Black Desert Championship field. See who else to fade here.

Another surprise: Rico Hoey, a massive 60-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.

In order to score well this week, players will need to be extremely effective off the tee and few do it better than Hoey. The 29-year-old enters this week’s event ranked 10th in strokes gained: off the tee (0.563), 12th in total driving (108) and 22nd in driving distance (309.8). He’s also been effective with his irons, ranking 24th in greens in regulation percentage (69.27%). Those impressive stats, plus his long odds, make him a strong value pick for your 2024 Black Desert Championship bets. See who else to back here.

How to make 2024 Black Desert Championship picks

The model is also targeting five other golfers with odds of 35-1 or longer who will make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.

Who will win the 2024 Black Desert Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the Black Desert Championship 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected Black Desert Championship leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters and three majors this year.

2024 Black Desert Championship odds

Get full 2024 Black Desert Championship picks, best bets and predictions here. 

Keith Mitchell +1800
Kurt Kitayama +2500
Beau Hossler +2800
Seamus Power +2500
Chris Kirk +3000
Patrick Rodgers +3300
J.J. Spaun +3500
Patrick Fishburn +3500
Chan Kim +3500
Ben Griffin +3500
Michael Thorbjornsen +3500
Stephan Jaeger +3500
Harry Hall +3500
Erik van Rooyen +3500
Ryan Fox +3500
Lucas Glover +4000
Andrew Novak +4000
Emiliano Grillo +4500
Harris English +4500
Adam Svensson +4500
Doug Ghim +5000
Matti Schmid +5000
Matt McCarty +5000
Kevin Yu +5000
Justin Lower +5500
Mac Meissner +5500
Jacob Bridgeman +5500
Rico Hoey +6000
Bud Cauley +6000
Daniel Berger +6000
Patton Kizzire +6000
Alex Smalley +6500
Chandler Phillips +7000
Vince Whaley +7500
Max McGreevy +7500
Nick Taylor +7500
Zac Blair +7500
C.T. Pan +7500
Nick Hardy +8000
Cameron Champ +8000
Justin Suh +8000
Mark Hubbard +8000
Ben Kohles +8000
Michael Kim +8000
Hayden Springer +8000
David Skinns +9000
Alexander Björk +9000
Chesson Hadley +9000
Trace Crowe +10000
Sami Valimaki +10000
Austin Smotherman +10000
Pierceson Coody +10000