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CNBC Sport: Falling NBA ratings, and why Christmas Day NFL games might not be on at your local bar

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CNBC Sport: Falling NBA ratings, and why Christmas Day NFL games might not be on at your local bar

Los Angeles Lakers forward LeBron James, #23, during the NBA game between the Los Angeles Clippers and the Los Angeles Lakers at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on Jan. 7, 2024.

Jevone Moore | Icon Sportswire | Getty Images

A version of this article first appeared in the CNBC Sport newsletter with Alex Sherman, which brings you the biggest news and exclusive interviews from the worlds of sports business and media. Sign up to receive future editions, straight to your inbox.

Perhaps the biggest story in sports media right now is why NBA ratings are way down this season – nearly 20% across TNT, ESPN and ABC. Many fans and pundits have speculated theories on social media: too many three pointers! Too woke! Season too long! “Inside The NBA” is ruining the game!

The league has noticed, too (of course). Here’s what my league sources are telling me:

1. The biggest reason is cord cutting. This is also why the NBA gave Warner Bros. Discovery the proverbial boot after this season as a live game distributor. Relying on cable networks ESPN and TNT is no longer a winning strategy. In November, streaming content made up 41.6% of total TV consumption, according to Nielsen – an all-time high. That’s why the NBA chose Amazon and NBCUniversal as its two new partners – one with a global streaming service and another with a broadcast network and a streaming service (Peacock). (It’s also why Warner Bros. Discovery may not have been too keen to pay huge dollars to keep the NBA!)

2. Star players have been injured. Joel Embiid, Zion Williamson, Kevin Durant, Steph Curry, Chet Holmgren, Paolo Banchero, Luka Doncic, Victor Wembanyama and many others have already missed multiple games with injury, and the season is barely one quarter old. 

3. Bad luck competing with other sporting events. Friday of Week 4 was the Tyson-Paul fight, which sucked up the sports viewing oxygen. NBA games on Black Friday went up against a Georgia-Georgia Tech college football game that went into eight overtimes. Marquee games from the Knicks and Lakers were directly up against the World Series, featuring teams from New York and LA.  

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League sources point out that the NBA’s slumping ratings this season aren’t in a vacuum. Linear TV ratings for the NHL and college basketball – other sports that rely on cable networks for viewership – are also down about 20% or more compared to last year.

There’s a reason Comcast is spinning off its cable networks, Warner Bros. Discovery is splitting its company into linear TV vs. streaming, and ESPN is launching a flagship subscription streaming service next year. The eyeballs are fleeing cable TV. For a while, sports was the glue holding it together. Now, even non-football sports seem like they’re losing their grip. 

(Disclosure: Comcast owns CNBC parent NBCUniversal.) 

***

Sick of the family? Want to sneak out and watch those Netflix Christmas NFL games at your local sports bar? You might not be able to.

Netflix’s two games – Kansas City vs. Pittsburgh and Houston vs. Baltimore – aren’t going to be available in any commercial establishments where DirecTV provides satellite TV service unless the business also subscribes to streaming service EverPass, according to people familiar with the matter.

DirecTV chose not to pay the six-figure licensing fee, figuring the audience for people hitting the bar and watching football on Christmas day would be minimal, said the people, who asked not to be named because the discussions are private.

It’s also a blow to casinos and hotels, which will need to pay extra to offer the games to their customers and guests. 

EverPass, a joint venture co-owned by private equity firm RedBird Capital Partners and the NFL, provides streaming-only service for commercial establishments. 

For casinos, bars and sportsbooks that have been using DirecTV and want the games, they’ll have to become EverPass subscribers. Casinos and sportsbooks will also have to pay an extra fee to EverPass, based on their fire code occupancy, on top of the cost of subscribing and potentially buying a streaming box.

Based on several private interactions I’ve had with commercial establishments who get their games from DTV, they appear to be caught flat-footed by this. They’re just now figuring out they’re not going to get the Netflix games.

DirecTV is gambling a bit here. It’s possible saving a little bit of money by not striking a deal with EverPass as a distribution partner will force businesses to test out EverPass’s streaming service. That may be pushing customers to a competitor. But it’s also possible most commercial venues won’t bother paying for something just for Christmas Day. 

DirecTV has said it serves about 300,000 commercial establishments, though at least 10% of that number has canceled service this year, CNBC Sport reported in October.

But DirecTV also feels like satellite technology is far superior to streaming – especially for places like a sports bar or a casino, which rely on TVs moving at the same speed and are extremely reliant on technology working smoothly.

This is particularly interesting given Netflix’s streaming issues for the Mike TysonJake Paul fight last month. 

The Tyson-Paul fight was the opposite scenario — it was exclusively distributed to DirecTV and not EverPass. DirecTV sources were quick to ping me the next day to note that bars and restaurants didn’t experience any of the latency issues that millions at home battled during the fight and its undercards. 

If Netflix has streaming issues with the Christmas Day games, I imagine my phone may light up again. And I wouldn’t be too surprised if DirecTV is a little bit louder about its technological advantages. 

On the record

With ESPN NFL analyst Mina Kimes

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