Tiny Nick’s Gambling Picks: 06/02 – Zone Coverage

Locks

WNBA (1 Unit) Dallas Wings Team Total Under 78.5 @ Minnesota Lynx (-110; Odds via Caesars): 6:00 PM CT on CBSSN

Best defense in the WNBA and I’m not listening to any alternatives, go argue with a wall. The Lynx might be 3rd in points allowed this season, but they’ve already played 3 overtime sessions in their 7 games, and as a result are only allowing 73.8 PPG in regulation. Until books make a massive overcorrection and start hanging opposing team totals in the low 70’s, I’ll continue to bet on this Minnesota defense to take care of business nightly. Especially against a team like Dallas, who just isn’t able to operate at their preferred style offensively without Natasha Howard and Satou Sabally, so look for them to be the Lynx’s next lockdown victim.

WNBA (0.5 Unit) Indiana Fever @ NY Liberty -4.5 First Quarter (-110; Odds via Caesars): 6:00 PM CT on NBATV

The Liberty are becoming hard to trust, especially against the huge spreads they lay every night. New York is just 1-7 ATS on the season, but their issue has been letting teams back into the game after getting out to fast starts. Those fast starts are almost always in the first quarter where the Liberty average a plus-6.1 margin on the season and plus-10.2 at home.

But they’ve been truly awful in second quarters, so I’m banking on another fast start as early as possible in this one. The Fever are on a back-to-back here, and the other meetings with the Liberty haven’t gone well as they’ve seen deficits of 9 and 11 points after a quarter. I think the situational spot is great for New York to jump out to one of their usual big leads.

MLB (0.75 Unit) NY Yankees/SF Giants Over 8 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 3:05 PM CT on NBCS-BA

Blake Snell day has become an automatic expectation for him to get shelled. It has happened in every one of his starts so far, which are 5-0 over this total, and now he faces arguably the best offense in baseball. The Yankees lead the league in home runs and OPS, and with Aaron Judge going yard seemingly every day, Snell could be in for another rough outing.

But don’t discount San Francisco’s ability to tack on runs today, as they face Nestor Cortes who has been a completely different pitcher away from Yankee Stadium. The lefty owns a 6.16 ERA on the road, and faces a Giants lineup that’s better against lefthanded pitching. The wind is blowing out hard to center today in Oracle Park, with warmer afternoon temps helping the ball to jump. These teams went for 8 and 10 runs the past two nights with far better starting pitchers, so I like the chances of getting over this low total today.

Degenerates

MLB Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Home Runs (+185; Odds via DraftKings): 6:00 PM CT on ESPN

It’s June, so it’s time to start considering Schwarber home run props on a nightly basis. This juice is preposterously low for the home run market, but I’ll take a shot anyway because he just takes off this month like clockwork. It just so happens that he has 3 hits against St Louis starter Lance Lynn in his career, and 2 of them went over the fence. With how the Phillies are hitting as a team, someone is likely to go yard tonight so why not Schwarber.

Tiny Nick is 2309-2124 ATS (+87.7 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage. 

Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.