Bengals vs. Commanders odds, line, spread, prediction: Monday Night Football picks by NFL model on 187-130 run

Two Heisman Trophy-winning quarterbacks will take the field when Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals host Jayden Daniels and the Washington Commanders in the second of two Monday Night Football games. Burrow and the Bengals are still searching for their first win of the season after suffering a 26-25 defeat to the Kansas City Chiefs last week. The Commanders, meanwhile, will try to make it two wins in a row after knocking off the New York Giants, 21-18, last week.  

Kickoff from Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Cincinnati is a 7.5-point favorite in the latest Commanders vs. Bengals odds via the SportsLine Consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 46.5. Before locking in any Bengals vs. Commanders picks, make sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 187-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 41-22 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up!

Now, the model has simulated Commanders vs. Bengals 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks. Head to SportsLine now to see them. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines on the spread, money line and over/under for Bengals vs. Commanders:

• Bengals vs. Commanders spread: Cincinnati -7.5
• Bengals vs. Commanders over/under: 46.5 points
• Bengals vs. Commanders money line: Cincinnati -357, Washington +283
• WASH: Commanders have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games
• CIN: Bengals have scored first in five of their last six games at home 
• Bengals vs. Commanders picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Bengals can cover

Despite being 0-2, the Bengals are still talented on both sides of the ball. Thus far, Cincinnati is 10th in the NFL in total defense (288) and second in pass defense (128.5). Cincinnati is also giving up 21 points per game. Defensive end Trey Hendrickson is an effective pass-rusher who finds a way to put opposing quarterbacks in difficult situations. The 29-year-old has 12 total pressures, seven hurries, and two sacks.

Cornerback Cam Taylor-Britt is a physical defender who has a strong straight-line speed to pick up ground. In two games, the Nebraska product has nine total tackles, two pass breakups, and one interception. Linebacker Logan Wilson is an additional force that finds his way to the ball. He leads the team in total tackles (24) with 12 stops in back-to-back outings. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why the Commanders can cover

Despite having a rookie signal-caller, Washington features one of the NFL’s most explosive offenses. The Commanders are averaging 362.0 yards per game this season, which ranks sixth in the league. They’ve been particularly effective on the ground, averaging 176.5 rushing yards per game, the third-most in the NFL.

Washington rushed for 215 yards in last week’s win over New York. Running back Brian Robinson Jr. led the way in Washington’s win, recording 17 carries for 133 yards. For the season, Robinson Jr. has racked up 173 rushing yards and a touchdown on 29 carries. He is averaging 6.0 yards per carry and now he’ll look to dissect a Cincinnati defense that is giving up 159.5 rushing yards per game this season. See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make Commanders vs. Bengals picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over the total, projecting the teams to combine for 56 points. The model also says one side of the spread cashes in well over 50% of simulations. Head to SportsLine to see its picks. 

So who wins Commanders vs. Bengals on Monday Night Football, and which side of the spread cashes well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Commanders vs. Bengals spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.