Gambling

Best Bet For Thursday (December 5th): NFL Predictions

Published

2 weeks ago

December 5, 2024

Admin

Best Bet For Thursday (December 5th): NFL Predictions

My dream of a perfect December has gone by the wayside. But I’m back on my best bet horse and have a winning play for tomorrow’s Thursday Night Football game. For my best bet for Thursday, December 5th: NFL Predictions, we’re off to Ford Field in Detroit.

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Best Bet For Thursday (December 5th): NFL Predictions

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

Start Time – 8:15 PM EST

Despite screwing me on Thanksgiving by not covering the spread, I’m back on the Detroit Lions bandwagon tomorrow with my best bet. It’s easy to be on the side of the best team in the NFL. But this is by no means a squash match tomorrow night – the visiting Green Bay Packers are a top team as well, sporting a 9-3 record and a top-three ranking based on advanced stats.

The Packers are also an impressive 4-1 on the road this season, while Detroit is 5-1 at Ford Field. However, based on the advanced stats I use to calculate spreads for the NFL, the Lions are eight points better than the Packers are. When you add Detroit’s home-field advantage to the numbers, that spread goes up to 10 points.

That means there’s about seven points of wiggle room on the Lions on the close spread we’re getting them for. Fool me once, shame on the Detroit Lions. Fool me twice….

Best Bet: Detroit -3 (-118)

Best Bet Overall Record: 139-119 (54%)
Profit (based on $100/bet): $653.90
Return on Investment: 3%