Betting analysis: Oklahoma vs. Missouri gambling picks

A reunion of old foes arrives here in Week 11 of the 2024 college football season. Oklahoma and Missouri are set to faceoff for the first time since 2011.

The Sooners and Tigers once frequently met in the Big 12 but will play their first game against each other under the SEC umbrella. It’s been a highly anticipated matchup for quite awhile and it finally arrives Saturday night.

This game will undoubtedly draw the attention of several across the college football landscape, some diehards and some casual fans. But plenty will likely be bettors looking for ways to approach this matchup.

Each week here on Sooners Illustrated, we breakdown the betting angles for every Oklahoma football outing. Here’s a look at the gambling aspects of this game between OU and Missouri.

Trends to consider: This season Oklahoma is 5-4 against the spread. Meanwhile, Missouri is an even 4-4 split against the number. The Tigers are 4-1 against the spread this season, though, when facing an unranked opponent. As for the Sooners, they’re 2-0 against the spread on the year in road games. As for the total, the under is 5-4 in games featuring Oklahoma and 6-2 in outings featuring Missouri.

Game spread: Oklahoma favored by 2.5 points

Analysis- The Missouri team seen on Saturday won’t be the same one that’s helped the Tigers find success. The Tigers will be without their starting quarterback in Brady Cook which means backup Drew Pyne gets the start. It’s also worth noting that Mizzou might also be without talented running back Nate Noel who plays an integral role in that offense. Oklahoma is set to be without its best running back in Jovantae Barnes, but the Sooners could be getting back two notable talents at receiver. If that comes to fruition, and Pyne must match whatever OU can muster up offensively while facing the Sooners’ defense, a cover situation should present itself for Oklahoma.

CK’s play- The Sooners cover the 2.5-point spread

Confidence level- 7.2/10

***CLICK HERE TO SUBSCRIBE TO SOONERS ILLUSTRATED AND GET YOUR ANNUAL SUBSCRIPTION FOR 30% OFF***

Game total: Over/under 43.5 combined points scored

Analysis- The Tigers are coming off their first shutout loss since 2019 and their first shutout loss when entering as an AP-ranked team since 2014. There aren’t too many helpful offensive changes expected following that performance. Missouri is averaging 15.3 PPG in conference games this season and with Pyne taking over at quarterback, it’s fair to expect that number to go down. Especially when considering the fact Oklahoma’s defense remains one of the better units in the SEC. As for the Sooners and what they could contribute to the point total, OU in the SEC is tied for 14th in points per game, 15th in total yards per game, 15th in third down percentage and last in the conference in yards per play. And again, while the Sooners should add a couple of playmakers at wideout, they’re going to be without their top running back in this game.

CK’s play- Under 43.5 combined points scored

Confidence level- 6.2/10