Buffalo Bills vs. Houston Texans prediction, odds, player props, best bets for NFL Week 5 (10/6/2024)

The Buffalo Bills will face off against the Houston Texans in Week 5 of the NFL season at NRG Stadium on Sunday. Kickoff is at 1 p.m. ET, with the Bills looking to bounce back after a disappointing loss to the Ravens last time out.

As for today’s game, our model is projecting the Bills to win in a tight game, with the most likel player to score the first touchdown of the game being Josh Allen.

Jump to our Bills vs. Texans best bet

Are you using these predictions to bet on today’s NFL action? If so, we recommend those in New York make the most of the latest FanDuel promo that secures $200 in bonus bets, while those in other states check their eligibility for the Bet365 bonus code “DIMERS” that offers up the choice of two deals.

Note: This preview follows on from our early look at Bills-Texans and includes Dimers’ best bets and predicted scoreline for the Buffalo Bills vs. Houston Texans. To unlock Dimers’ full suite of data-driven betting insights, which includes daily props, trends, and parlays, sign up for Dimers Pro with promo code SYRACUSE10, which will save you 10% off your first subscription payment.

Bills vs. Texans betting preview

Explore the interactive widget below to see the latest spread, total, and moneyline odds and probabilities for the Bills-Texans matchup at NRG Stadium.

This prediction and best bet for Sunday’s NFL matchup between the Bills and Texans is from Dimers.com, a dependable source for sports betting predictions.

Check out all the important details on today’s game, as well as the best odds sourced from the top sportsbooks in the country.

Game details

The key information you need before the Bills vs. Texans NFL game.

Odds

The latest and best odds for the NFL matchup between the Bills and Texans.

• Spread: Bills -1.5 (-102), Texans +1.5 (-120)
• Moneyline: Bills -112, Texans +100
• Total: Over/Under 47.5 (-105/-110)

The odds and lines presented here are the best available from selected sports betting site at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Expert prediction: Bills vs. Texans

Leveraging state-of-the-art data analysis and computer power, the experts at Dimers have performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday’s Bills vs. Texans matchup.

According to Dimers’ renowned predictive analytics model, the Bills are more likely to beat the Texans at NRG Stadium. This prediction is based on the model giving the Bills a 53% chance of winning the game.

Furthermore, Dimers predicts that the Texans (+1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 47.5 points is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

These predictions and probabilities are correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Bills vs. Texans best bet

Our top pick for the Bills vs. Texans Week 5 NFL game is to bet on the Bills moneyline (-112).

This betting advice is formulated through detailed modeling and valuable betting intelligence, designed to bring you the best possible plays.

Score prediction for Bills vs. Texans

Dimers’ projected final score for the Buffalo vs. Houston game on Sunday has the Bills winning 24-23.

This expert prediction is based on each team’s average score following 10,000 game simulations, offering a glimpse into the potential outcome.

NFL player props: Sunday

Buffalo’s Josh Allen is most likely to score the first touchdown in Bills vs. Texans, according to Dimers.

Allen has an 11.0% chance of getting in for six first at NRG Stadium. The Bills QB has a 45.9% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

First touchdown scorer prediction

Buffalo Bills

• Josh Allen: 11.0% probability
• James Cook: 9.5% probability
• Khalil Shakir: 5.0% probability
• Dalton Kincaid: 4.8% probability
• Keon Coleman: 4.5% probability

Houston Texans

• Nico Collins: 9.5% probability
• Joe Mixon: 9.2% probability
• Stefon Diggs: 7.3% probability
• Tank Dell: 7.2% probability
• Dalton Schultz: 4.1% probability

Anytime touchdown scorer prediction

Buffalo Bills

• Josh Allen: 45.9% probability
• James Cook: 41.8% probability
• Khalil Shakir: 25.4% probability
• Dalton Kincaid: 23.8% probability
• Keon Coleman: 22.4% probability

Houston Texans

• Nico Collins: 41.9% probability
• Joe Mixon: 41.2% probability
• Stefon Diggs: 35.5% probability
• Tank Dell: 33.2% probability
• Dalton Schultz: 20.4% probability

NFL Week 5: Bills vs. Texans

Get ready for Sunday’s action between the Bills and Texans in Week 5 of the National Football League season at NRG Stadium, which is scheduled to start at 1 p.m. ET. We emphasize that all of the NFL predictions and NFL best bets in this preview are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the Bills vs. Texans matchup, and they are correct at the time of publication to help you make better decisions when placing bets at online sportsbooks.

Please note that when engaging in online betting, it is important to exercise responsible gambling practices and consult trustworthy sources for accurate and up-to-date information.