Buff’s Bets: Week 0

It’s here everyone! We in fact have football being played where the score counts! And where there are activities with odds, there is in fact betting to take place.

A new series I wanted to do this year is Buff’s Bets. I love me some football and basketball betting. The problem with basketball is that there’s a shit ton of games across the week, whereas with football it’s on Saturdays and I can safely remember to update bets once a week. It’s a win win for me. Well it’s usually a loss, but you’ll see that in a few weeks.

So where’s the fun for you? Well it’s certainly not in taking my gambling advice. I am historically a terrible gambler. I don’t do this as a way to make money. Nay. I do it as a way to be right.

The most enjoyment you may get out of this segment is watching me look like a complete ass when I pick these games based off nothing but feels. That tracks with OTE standards and my own personal brand. You’re not going to see intricate breakdowns talking about statistics and how teams usually cover when the opposing coach is wearing turquoise. That said, here’s how it’s going to go usually.

The Format

Each week, I will pick 5 individual games at $2 a bet. The bet may be either Moneyline (win or loss straight up), Spread, or O/U total points. There will be a total of $10 spent here.

From there I will pick one 5 leg parley that does not include the games I have previously picked. That parlay will be $5 and hopefully will get some odd boosts.

The app I will be using is FanDuel. Fuck off asking me to do any other apps to follow along. I don’t need more places to lose money.

I will keep a running total of my overall FanDuel account each week so you can see me lose money each week.

Week 0 caveat: Since week 0 only has 4 games, there are only 4 bets this week on individual games and no parlays. Sorry.

Week 0 Bets

FanDuel Starting Amount: $78.47

Bets Placed on 8/19

Game One – 10 Florida State @ Georgia Tech

Spread: FSU -10.5

ML: FSU -465

O/U: 55.5

Alrighty. Let’s kick this off with the Florida State Seminoles at Georgia Tech. Georgia Tech routinely sucks something awful and Florida State was exactly one QB away from being in the college football playoff last season. I don’t know who lost what, but usually betting road warriors with a double digit spread is risky. Until you remember that Georiga Tech almost got throttled by Louisville early last season before getting edged out. Florida State is probably better than Louisville was. I’ll bet on a Georgia Tech backslide or at least a lateral move. ML doesn’t pay here and O/U is probably an over, but betting the points is more fun.

Buff’s Bet: FSU -10.5 – $2 – Payout – $3.69

Game Two – Montana St. @ New Mexico

Spread: Montana State -9.5 (This line moved to -11.5 on Fanduel at the time of writing)

ML: Montana State -450

O/U: 54.5

Oh boy. Good FSC plays bad FBS. This is kinda like when a good D2 basketball team plays a horrible D1 team and the D1 team gets throttled. You know, like when Bellarmine beat Louisville.

“BuT bUFf, WaSn’T bElLaRmInE d1 At ThAt TiMe?”

Shut your face.

I got -9.5 on Monday for Montana State. The ML payout here wasn’t great. The O/U scares me. There are articles being written for Montana State to be FCS championship contenders. There are articles being written for New Mexico being one of the worst teams in FBS, probably.

Buff’s Bet: Montana State -9.5 – $2 – Payout – $3.67

Game 3 – SMU @ Nevada

Spread: SMU -25.5

ML: SMU -4000

O/U: 55.5 (This line moved 56.5 at the time of writing)

Ooph. This game was difficult for me to come up with something. On a normal week, I’d leave it alone in favor of a more tasty game. However, there weren’t any choices and I’ve already made the bet, so screw it. So what we have here is the newest ACC team heading to Nevada to play.

I think of the ACC the way I think of the tax rate in Japan. I don’t. What I do believe is that Nevada will suck. However, I don’t know if SMU is so good that it can cover a spread that large on the road in week 0. The ML sucks for SMU. I hate this game. 42 -17 gets be 59 points and I can get behind the O/U. Besides, the ACC isn’t known for it’s rigorous defenses anyway.

Buff’s Bet: Over 55.5 points – $2 – Payout – $3.74

Game 4 – Delaware State @ Hawaii

Spread: Hawaii -40.5

ML: No ML Available

O/U: 55.5 (This line moved to 57.5 at the time of writing)

One of the WORST FCS teams heads to Hawaii to play one of the most MID mid majors. The problem with betting the spread is that you’re hoping that the Hawaii reserves don’t give up some backdoor scores. It could very well be a 56-0 route, which would be fine for the cover. I don’t trust Hawaii though. What I do trust is that beautiful O/U, still ripe in the 50’s. I really think that there will be 60 points scored in this game, and I got my line at 55.5. Simply, 49-7 gets me my over.

Buff’s Bet: Over 55.5 – $2 – Payout $3.82

BONUS BET

Indiana Season Wins O/U: 5.5

I figured I’d share with you all the bet I made in July. I emotionally hedged and took the Indiana under 6 wins. Don’t count this towards the Fanduel count. Or do. I don’t care what you do.

Buff’s Bet: Under 6 wins – $5 – Payout $8.33

What bets do you like in week 0? Let us know down below!

Have a problem with gambling? National Problem Gambling Helpline (1-800-GAMBLER) is operated by the National Council on Problem Gambling. The helpline serves as a one-stop hub connecting people looking for assistance with a gambling problem to local resources. This network includes 28 contact centers which cover all 50 states and the U.S. territories.

The National Problem Gambling Helpline offers call, text and chat services 24/7/365.