Chiefs vs. Steelers 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks – Dec 25

Data Skrive

Having taken five straight, the Kansas City Chiefs (14-1) will play the Pittsburgh Steelers (10-5). The Chiefs are slight favorites (-2.5). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 43.5.

Keep up with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.

Chiefs vs. Steelers Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Steelers (+2.5)
  
• Pick OU: Under (43.5)
  
• Prediction:
  Chiefs 22 – Steelers 21
  

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Pittsburgh

• Game Date: Wednesday, December 25, 2024
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Venue: Acrisure Stadium
• Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• TV: Netflix
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Chiefs vs. Steelers Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, Kansas City has totaled three wins versus Pittsburgh.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Kansas City has racked up 149 points versus Pittsburgh, while giving up only 105 points.

Kansas City Betting Info

• Kansas City is 6-9-0 against the spread this season.
• The Chiefs are 5-8 ATS this season when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
• Kansas City contests this year have gone over the point total 46.7% of the time (seven times in 15 games with a set point total).
• The Chiefs have won each of the 13 games they were the moneyline favorite this season.
• Looking at this game’s moneyline, the Chiefs’ implied win probability is 59.7%.

Chiefs Stats

Kansas City’s Key Players

Offense

• Patrick Mahomes has 3,608 passing yards (seventh in the NFL), 23 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and 11 interceptions this year. He has completed 66.9% of his passes, averaging 240.5 yards per game and 6.6 per attempt.
• He has also rushed for 295 yards (second on the Chiefs) and added two touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 19.7 rushing yards per game.
• Kareem Hunt’s rushing output this season includes 708 yards and six TDs. He is averaging 59.0 yards per game and 3.7 per attempt (41st in the NFL).
• Hunt’s 32 targets as part of the passing attack have turned into 23 catches (1.9 per game) for 176 yards (14.7 per game) and zero touchdowns.
• Through 15 games played, Xavier Worthy is averaging 37.3 yards and 3.4 receptions per game to total 559 receiving yards and 51 catches. He’s been targeted 89 times, and has five receiving touchdowns.
• DeAndre Hopkins has 54 catches for 603 yards and five touchdowns. He’s been targeted 76 times in the passing game, and averages 3.6 receptions and 40.2 yards through 15 games played.

Defense

• Over on defense, Nick Bolton has one interception to go with 98 tackles, 11.0 TFL, three sacks, and four passes defended in 2024.
• Drue Tranquill has 2.0 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 85 tackles.
• Chamarri Conner has put up 65 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and two interceptions this year.
• Justin Reid has 5.0 TFL, 80 tackles, and one interception on the year.

Pittsburgh Betting Info

• Pittsburgh has covered the spread in a matchup 10 times this season (10-5-0).
• The Steelers have an ATS record of 4-2 in their six games as an underdog of 2.5 points or more this year.
• This season, Pittsburgh games have hit the over eight times.
• The Steelers have been underdogs in seven games this season and won five (71.4%) of those contests.
• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 44.6% chance of a victory for the Steelers.

Steelers Stats

Pittsburgh’s Key Players

Offense

• So far this year in 15 games, Najee Harris has racked up 933 rushing yards (leading the Steelers) and scored five rushing touchdowns. He averages 62.2 yards per game and 3.9 per carry (36th in the NFL).
• On top of his rushing statistics, Harris has caught 30 passes (on 39 targets) for 256 yards (seventh on the Steelers). He’s averaging 17.1 yards per game.
• In nine games, Russell Wilson has 2,129 passing yards, while throwing 15 touchdowns against four interceptions and completing 64.9% of his attempts.
• He has tacked on 84 rushing yards (fifth on the Steelers), while scoring one touchdown on the ground (averaging 9.3 yards per game and 2.5 per carry).
• In 10 games this season, Justin Fields has totaled 1,106 passing yards, while throwing five touchdowns against one interception and completing 65.8% of his attempts.
• He’s added 289 yards on the ground (third on the Steelers), while scoring five rushing touchdowns. He’s averaging 28.9 yards per game and 4.7 per attempt.
• George Pickens has 850 receiving yards and three touchdowns from 55 receptions after getting 90 targets.

Defense

• T.J. Watt has recorded 11.5 sacks (first on the Steelers and fourth in the NFL) to go with 18.0 TFL and 58 tackles through 15 games in 2024.
• Cameron Heyward has 66 tackles, 11.0 TFL, eight sacks, and eight passes defended.
• DeShon Elliott has recorded 3.0 TFL, 96 tackles, and one interception in the 2024 season.
• Patrick Queen has put up 5.0 TFL and 117 tackles over 15 games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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