Here’s Why PENN Entertainment (NASDAQ:PENN) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

David Iben put it well when he said, ‘Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.’ So it seems the smart money knows that debt – which is usually involved in bankruptcies – is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that PENN Entertainment, Inc. (NASDAQ:PENN) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can’t fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for PENN Entertainment

What Is PENN Entertainment’s Debt?

As you can see below, PENN Entertainment had US$2.76b of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had US$877.6m in cash, and so its net debt is US$1.88b.

How Healthy Is PENN Entertainment’s Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that PENN Entertainment had liabilities of US$1.30b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$11.2b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$877.6m in cash and US$251.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$11.4b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$2.70b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, PENN Entertainment would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company’s debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While PENN Entertainment’s debt to EBITDA ratio (3.9) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 0.12, suggesting high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. Worse, PENN Entertainment’s EBIT was down 95% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine PENN Entertainment’s ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you’re focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, PENN Entertainment’s free cash flow amounted to 39% of its EBIT, less than we’d expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

On the face of it, PENN Entertainment’s EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. Having said that, its ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow isn’t such a worry. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like PENN Entertainment has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn’t float our boat. Given the risks around PENN Entertainment’s use of debt, the sensible thing to do is to check if insiders have been unloading the stock.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don’t even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.