Is Sphere Entertainment (NYSE:SPHR) A Risky Investment?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that ‘Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.’ So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Sphere Entertainment Co. (NYSE:SPHR) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of ‘creative destruction’ where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company’s use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Sphere Entertainment

What Is Sphere Entertainment’s Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Sphere Entertainment had debt of US$1.39b at the end of March 2024, a reduction from US$1.88b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$680.6m, its net debt is less, at about US$711.3m.

How Healthy Is Sphere Entertainment’s Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Sphere Entertainment had liabilities of US$1.40b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.03b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$680.6m in cash and US$200.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.54b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company’s US$1.18b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. There’s no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Sphere Entertainment’s ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you’re focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, Sphere Entertainment reported revenue of US$883m, which is a gain of 599%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. When it comes to revenue growth, that’s like nailing the game winning 3-pointer!

Caveat Emptor

Even though Sphere Entertainment managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$219m at the EBIT level. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we’re not particularly confident about the company. We’d want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of US$529m over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we’ve identified 3 warning signs for Sphere Entertainment (2 are a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

Of course, if you’re the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don’t hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com