MLB NRFI and YRFI Picks – July 31

Some people like to sweat out a bet for 9 hard innings – others like immediate satisfaction. Count us as being in the latter, which is why we like to get down with MLB NRFI and YRFI picks. And we’ve decided to pass that knowledge on to you with our NRFI bets for July 31. Go here for MLB World Series odds.

Of course, there are plenty out there taking blind guesses at this stuff. It’s easy to pick the best-hitting team or look at what happened in the last game. However, we spent the time pouring through the analytics to make sure that we give you the best odds to stay in the green on these NRFI and YRFI props for July 31. Come check out what we have cooked up for this slate of games.

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MLB NRFI and YRFI Picks – July 31

Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers

First Pitch – 4:10 pm EST
American Family Field – Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Broadcast – MLB TV

The Braves haven’t been healthy lately and their offense has been sputtering as a result. The most feared offense in 2023 is now the 19th best scoring offense in the league. Their early scoring has been rough as well. Facing Joe Ross with a nearly 5.00 ERA on Tuesday, they took a few innings to finally get on the board. Now they’ll face Freddy Peralta, who has held 10 of his last 12 opponents to three runs or fewer. He and his sub-4.00 ERA should be enough to get three early outs against this struggline offense.

The bottom half of the first should be much less of a sweat thanks to Cy Young candidate Chris Sale. He’s mowing people down this year – nabbing nine or more strikeouts in four of his last five games. He hasn’t allowed three earned runs or more since June 1 – which is 60 days ago at this point. As good as this Brewers offense is, nobody has been getting to Sale at all – never mind getting to him early.

NRFI/YRFI Bet for July 31: No (-150)

Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox

First Pitch – 2:10 pm EST
Guaranteed Rate Field – Chicago, Illinois
Broadcast – MLB TV

Drew Thorpe takes the bump to start this game, which might be an alarm for those hunting an NRFI. First of all, the Royals are a top 10 offense in the league. Secondly, Thorpe allowed a whopping 8 runs in the first inning against the Mariners. This fact has drove the price of this NRFI all the way down close to even, but I think it’s weighing that one game too heavily.

Thorpe outside of that game has been solid this year. He has five quality starts in a row prior and hadn’t allowed more than two earned runs in any of those five starts. In fact, one of them was against these same Royals, where he went six innings without allowing an run and picking up five strikeouts in the process. I’m confident that he can grab a quick three this time and get rolling again.

On the other side, it’s easy to fade the bats of the White Sox. They average 3.07 runs per game, which is dead last in the majors. It’s also nearly half a run behind the next worst team in the league (the Marlins). To make matters worse, the trade deadline saw them trade away their designated hitter. Then we’ll add Brady Singer to the mix with his 2.82 ERA. He’s coming off back-to-back 7.0 inning shutouts, including one against these White Sox. I wouldn’t be surprised to see another here Wednesday.

NRFI/YRFI Bet for July 30: No (-105)

If you’d like even more info to help make your NRFI picks for July 31, check out the MLB Gambling Podcast. They’re dropping episodes five days a week to make you the smartest guy/gal at the bar with their MLB picks today.