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NFL Week 4 Player Prop Best Bets

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NFL Week 4 Player Prop Best Bets

NFL Week 3 could not have gone any better going a perfect 5-0 on the player props! We move on to NFL Week 4 and try to find more winners and have another big week. There are a few player props I love for this week. Below are my NFL Week 4 Player Prop Best Bets!

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NFL Week 4 Player Prop Best Bets

Kyler Murray Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

As much as the conversation has been about Jayden Daniels and the offense, the defense has been terrible, to say the least. In the first three weeks, of the season, the Commanders have allowed two passing touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks. Josh Allen threw for two, Daniel Jones threw for two, and last week Joe Burrow threw for three. In a game that has the highest total on the board, I do expect points to be up in this game and Murray to have at least two passing touchdowns.

Aaron Jones Over 21.5 Receiving Yards

We know the narrative this week, Aaron Jones returning to Lambeau Field to take on his former team the Packers. But if we look at the Packers’ defense this season against the running back position, Jones could be in for a big game. Collectively, opposing running backs have exceeded this projection of 21.5 receiving yards.

Over the last two weeks, Jones has seen six targets and has 36 and 46 receiving yards respectively. I believe Aaron Jones will be involved in the passing game for the Vikings and as looking at revenge against his former team.

 

Najee Harris Over 63.5 Rushing Yards

This number is too low for the matchup Najee Harris has this week. Harris has at least 17 rush attempts in all three games thus far this season. On top of that, Harris has rushed for close to 70 yards per game this season. The only week he didn’t get there was against the Broncos in Week 2 where he had 69 (nice!).

But let’s not forget the fact that the Colts rush defense is one of the worst in the entire league. The season-long numbers are improved after last week no show by the Bears rushing attack. Now, the Colts have gone up against Harris and the Steelers’ offensive line. Week 1 vs Texans, Joe Mixon ran for 159 yards. In week 2 Josh Jacobs ran for 151 yards. Good luck with the Colts defense this week against Najee Harris.

Dalton Kincaid Over 37.5 Receiving Yards

This is a game where we should expect Kincaid to be more involved in the offense despite his targets taking a downward dip. But if there is a matchup for him to exceed expectations it’s this week against the Baltimore Ravens. Over the first three weeks of the season, the Ravens are allowing the second most receiving yards, receptions, and targets to the tight end position. Additionally, the Ravens have allowed tight ends to have 95+ receiving yards in back-to-back weeks. I like the matchup here for Kincaid.

Ladder PLAY: Harris 70.5+ Rushing Yards (+120) 80.5+ Rushing Yards (+195) 100.5+ Rushing Yards (+475)

YTD Record: 10-3 (76.9%)

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