Sphere Entertainment’s (NYSE:SPHR) 42% YoY earnings expansion surpassed the shareholder returns over the past three years

Sphere Entertainment Co. (NYSE:SPHR) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 26% in the last month.

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they’re still in the red over the last three years, so let’s see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

See our latest analysis for Sphere Entertainment

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company’s share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During five years of share price growth, Sphere Entertainment moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. So given the share price is down it’s worth checking some other metrics too.

We think that the revenue decline over three years, at a rate of 10% per year, probably had some shareholders looking to sell. And that’s not surprising, since it seems unlikely that EPS growth can continue for long in the absence of revenue growth.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

Investors should note that there’s a difference between Sphere Entertainment’s total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we’ve covered above. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. We note that Sphere Entertainment’s TSR, at 31% is higher than its share price return of -39%. When you consider it hasn’t been paying a dividend, this data suggests shareholders have benefitted from a spin-off, or had the opportunity to acquire attractively priced shares in a discounted capital raising.

A Different Perspective

Sphere Entertainment shareholders are up 20% for the year. While you don’t go broke making a profit, this return was actually lower than the average market return of about 24%. On the other hand, the TSR over three years was worse, at just 10% per year. This suggests the company’s position is improving. If the business can justify the share price gain with improving fundamental data, then there could be more gains to come. It’s always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Sphere Entertainment better, we need to consider many other factors. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we’ve spotted 3 warning signs for Sphere Entertainment (of which 2 don’t sit too well with us!) you should know about.

Sphere Entertainment is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find lesser know companies this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com