This week’s picks are intended for the biggest spotlights, including both primetime games. They include a dome team heading north and going Under, last year’s Super Bowl opponents taking care of their business, and two of the highest Over/Under numbers hitting Over.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
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The Saints have struggled on the road, losing their last four games. The Giants have scored more than 20 points in a game just once in the last seven with their cavalcade of substandard QBs – and have seven points of fewer in three of those. The combination of the Saints playing just their third outdoor game of the season in frigid New York and Giants being inept, too many scenarios point Under.
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People are dog-piling on the 49ers, claiming their recent run is over. Injuries have piled up, but successful teams don’t wave the white flag – much less at home against a Bears team that has lost six straight by finding ways to lose. The Bears have topped 20 points just once in the last six games, so the 49ers don’t need to light up the scoreboard to cover this number.
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The Chargers have made a big turnaround, but if you look at their eight wins in context of when they played them, who have the really beat? Their potential signature wins have all been losses, including a 17-10 home loss to the Chiefs in Week 4. The Chiefs are 6-0 at home and don’t need to apologize for not beating teams down. Without J.K. Dobbins providing the home-run threat, the Chargers grind too much to hang with KC.
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This is simply a bet made on tendencies. In the last six games, Buffalo has scored 34, 31, 30, 30, 30, and 35 points. In their last seven games, the Rams have scored 20 or more points six times and allowed 20-plus in five of their last six. Both teams have too many weapons that can make the chunk plays that result in touchdowns to ignore, and if one is hot the other has to chase.
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These two are disappointments for a reason. In their last five games against the O/U, the Bengals numbers have been 54, 65, 69, 61, and 82 points. As potent as the offense is, Cincy’s defense is rough – those totals include losses in four of their last five games. In their last seven games, the Cowboys have allowed 47, 30, 27, 34, 34, 26, and 20 points. There are too many reasons for this number to go Over.
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