Tiny Nick’s Gambling Picks: 07/17 – Zone Coverage

Locks

WNBA (0.5 Unit) Indiana Fever/Dallas Wings Over 177.5 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 6:30 PM CT on ESPN

In a matchup of the two most generous defenses in the league, there’s really no other option but to look to the over. These offenses are capable enough to exploit those porous defenses, especially at the tempo both teams like to play. This is also the final game of the WNBA schedule before a month-long break for the All-Star game and Olympics, so I wouldn’t expect defensive effort to be at a maximum with most players thinking about vacation plans. Yesterday’s slate of four games went 4-0 to the over and I believe that was a factor, so look for minimal defense to send this game over the high total.

Degenerates

NBA Summer League Golden State Warriors -1.5 vs Cleveland Cavaliers (-110; Odds via Caesars): 9:00 PM CT on NBATV

The Warriors have shown that they’re taking Summer League seriously this year, notching two double-digit wins where they’ve really looked good defensively. For Cleveland, they were blown out in their first game against a quality Orlando team, which is more the level of competition they’ll see tonight.

Then the Cavs ran out a Bucks squad that everyone in Vegas is beating up on, so I don’t put much stock in that. So at the end of the day this looks like a very cheap price to back a team that looks more engaged, especially defensively, against an opponent who’s probably more of a pretender at this point.

Tiny Nick is 2380-2193 ATS (+88.3 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage. 

Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.