Week 4 NFL picks, predictions, best bets from Vegas expert: This 3-team football parlay pays out over 6-1

Only five teams were favored in their first three games of the 2024 NFL season and none of them has covered the spread all three times. The Houston Texans are the only of the five favorites never to cover the spread (0-2-1 ATS), but they’ll have another chance of doing so as 6.5-point favorites against the Jacksonville Jaguars, according to the latest Week 4 NFL odds from the SportsLine Consensus. The Jaguars are coming off a 47-10 loss to the Bills on Monday Night Football to fall to 0-3 on the 2024 NFL season, so should you include the Texans in your Week 4 NFL parlay picks to win by at least a touchdown when making Week 4 NFL best bets?

The Lions are 3.5-point home favorites against the Seahawks on Monday Night Football in a matchup of two teams that have been favored the first three weeks. Now that Seattle is a rare underdog this season, is there value in picking them to cover or to win when making Week 4 NFL betting picks? Before you make any Week 4 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see what SportsLine senior analyst Larry Hartstein has to say.

A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed working for Pro Football Focus. Hartstein tied for 52nd place (out of 1,598 entries) in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, going 53-34-3 ATS. His weekly Vegas contest selections form the basis of his NFL best bets column, which is 83-52-3 (61.5%, +25.50 units) since its inception in 2022. He went 2-1 last week.

For Week 4, Hartstein has locked in three confident best bets. If you successfully parlay his picks, you’re looking at a payout of over 6-1. You can only see Hartstein’s Week 4 NFL picks at SportsLine.

Top Week 4 NFL picks

We can tell you Hartstein loves the Steelers (-1.5, 40) on the road versus the Colts. The Steelers are one of just five undefeated teams left this season and are coming off a 20-10 victory over the Chargers last week. The Steelers have been known for a dominant defense throughout their history and this year’s unit has been no exception. Pittsburgh is allowing the fewest points (8.7) and yards (229.7) per game and has held all three opponents to 10 points or fewer.

Justin Fields wasn’t expected to be the starter this preseason, but after a calf injury to Russell Wilson during training camp, Fields has excelled. Fields had his best passing game of the season last week, completing 25 of 32 passes for 245 yards and a touchdown with an interception against the Chargers, who are allowing the sixth-fewest yards per game this season. Fields ranks 12th in QB rating this season after finishing 24th among starting quarterbacks last year. His improvement combined with the Steelers’ dominant defense are key reasons why Hartstein expects them to win and cover on Sunday. See which other NFL parlay picks to make here.

How to make Week 4 NFL parlays

Hartstein also jumped on two other NFL matchups, including backing one team whose quarterback “typically thrives in this matchup.” You can only see Hartstein’s Week 4 NFL best bets and parlay at SportsLine. 

What are Hartstein’s top Week 4 NFL picks, and which other NFL matchups should you target for a strong 6-1 payout? Visit SportsLine now to see the Week 4 NFL best bets from the Vegas expert who is up 25.50 units on NFL ATS picks, and find out.